Research

Publications

Reframing the Epidemiological Transition – Increasing Returns to Tackling Ageing-Related Diseases (2026)

Julian Ashwin, David Bloom, Naomi Lee, Peter Piot, Andrew Scott

Nature Aging (forthcoming)

Qualitative Analysis with Large-N: A New Method with an Application to Aspirations in Bangladesh (2026)

Julian Ashwin, Vijayendra Rao, Monica Biradavolu, Aditya Chhabra, Arshia Haque, Afsana Khan, Nandini Krishnan

The Economic Journal

DOI

Introduction to the Special Issue: The Economics of Ageing and Longevity (2026)

Julian Ashwin, David Canning, Johanna Wallenius

Journal of the Economics of Ageing

DOI

Neural Network Learning for Nonlinear Economies (2025)

Julian Ashwin, Paul Beaudry, Martin Ellison

Journal of Monetary Economics

DOI

Using Large Language Models for Qualitative Analysis Can Introduce Serious Bias (2025)

Julian Ashwin, Aditya Chhabra, Vijayendra Rao

Sociological Methods and Research

DOI

A Bayesian Model of Later Life Mortality Trends and Implications for Longevity (2025)

Julian Ashwin, Andrew Scott

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A

DOI

Nowcasting Euro Area GDP with News Sentiment: A Tale of Two Crises (2024)

Julian Ashwin, Eleni Kalamara, Lorena Saiz

Journal of Applied Econometrics

DOI

Financial News Media and Volatility: Is There More to Newspapers than News? (2024)

Julian Ashwin

Journal of Financial Markets

DOI

International Gains to Achieving Healthy Longevity (2023)

Andrew Scott, Julian Ashwin, Martin Ellison, David Sinclair

Cold Spring Harbor Perspectives in Medicine

DOI

An Adaptive Dynamical Model of Default Contagion (2022)

Damian Smug, Julian Ashwin, Peter Ashwin, Didier Sornette

Quantitative Finance

DOI

Bayesian Topic Regression for Causal Inference (2021)

Maximilian Ahrens, Julian Ashwin, Jan-Peter Calliess, Vu Nguyen

Proceedings of the 2021 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing (EMNLP), pp. 8162–8188

DOI

Working Papers

Multi-dimensional Uncertainty and Central Bank Communication: What Do Central Bankers Talk About and Why? (2022)

Julian Ashwin

Working paper

Abstract

Winner of the Peter Sinclair Prize (1st place) at the 9th MMF Society PhD Conference, 2022. Currently shelved — not being revised or submitted.

The Value of Healthy Longevity and Increasing Returns to Tackling Ageing

Julian Ashwin, Martin Ellison, Andrew Scott

Working paper